716 WTPZ31 KNHC 032039 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Remnants Of Eleven-E Advisory Number 9 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP112024 300 PM CST Thu Oct 03 2024 ...DEPRESSION DEGENERATES TO A TROUGH... ...REMNANTS TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINS WITH FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES IN PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 300 PM CST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.7N 94.6W ABOUT 55 MI...85 KM SE OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICO ABOUT 125 MI...205 KM E OF PUERTO ANGEL MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Government of Mexico has discontinued the Tropical Storm Warning for the coast of Mexico. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: Ther are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Although the warnings have been discontinued, interests in southeastern Mexico should continue monitor the progress of this system. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 300 PM CST (2100 UTC), the remnants of Eleven-E were located near latitude 15.7 North, longitude 94.6 West. The remnants are moving toward the north near 7 mph (11 km/h), and a northeastward to northward motion is forecast through Friday. On the forecast track, the remnants of the depression should move inland over the Isthmus of Tehuantepec later today or tonight. Satellite wind data indicate that maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is expected, and the remnants are forecast to dissipate over Mexico on Friday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center, mainly in offshore flow to the north and west of the remnants. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for the Remnants of Eleven-E can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP1 and WMO header WTPZ41 KNHC. WIND: Gusts to tropical-storm force are possible along portions of the coast of the Gulf of Tehuantepec this afternoon and tonight. RAINFALL: Additional rainfall of 3 to 6 inches, with localized amounts up to 8 inches, is expected across portions of the Mexican states of Chiapas, Oaxaca, Veracruz Tabasco and coastal Guerrero. This rainfall may lead to areas of flooding and mudslides. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with the Remnants of Eleven-E, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep1.shtml?rainqpf STORM SURGE: Minor coastal flooding from storm surge is possible in areas of onshore flow. SURF: Swells generated by the Remnants of Eleven-E are affecting portions of the coast of southern and southeastern Mexico. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. For additional information on the remnants please see forecasts issued by the Meteorological Service of Mexico and High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php $$ Forecaster Beven